The same question trades on 2 venues. This blend is weighted by each venue’s market depth.
Across prediction markets, the collective odds suggest a 2% chance that Earth is flat, with both real-money Polymarket and play-money Manifold showing nearly identical low probabilities.
Informational only · play-money venues count less in the blend. Tap a venue to compare.
How each venue’s Yes has moved
Consensus is a liquidity-weighted blend of each venue’s Yes probability (play-money venues count less). Informational only — PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.