Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
33 markets · 1y
✨ Ask about this eventMarkets in this event
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — John McEntee
Yes ≈ 33% chance
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Spencer Pratt
Yes ≈ 19% chance
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Jeff Bezos
Yes ≈ 17% chance
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Thomas Massie
Yes ≈ 65% chance
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Jared Kushner
Yes ≈ 10% chance
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Pete Hegseth
Yes ≈ 14% chance
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Erika Kirk
Yes ≈ 15% chance
Marjorie Taylor Greene
Marjorie Taylor Greene is openly clashing with Trump over his Iran war policy, using fallen soldiers to attack him, which could position her as an anti-establishment primary challenger—but the odds still reflect skepticism that she will follow through before 2028.
Yes ≈ 11% chance
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Steve Bannon
Yes ≈ 23% chance
Tucker Carlson
Tucker Carlson's 2028 nomination odds dropped 4 points in 24 hours, likely reflecting that his recent media output (interviews on Iran, Trump, and Roger Waters) reinforces his role as a commentator, not a candidate, and suggests no campaign preparations.
Yes ≈ 24% chance
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Rand Paul
Yes ≈ 43% chance
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Ted Cruz
Yes ≈ 73% chance
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Matt Gaetz
Matt Gaetz's return to public service via a Florida state board appointment is a modest step back into politics, but the market sees it as far from a presidential campaign launch, keeping his 2028 nomination odds low at 21%.
Yes ≈ 3% chance
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Katie Britt
Yes ≈ 13% chance
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — John Thune
Yes ≈ 10% chance
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Josh Hawley
Yes ≈ 46% chance
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Elon Musk
Yes ≈ 6% chance
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Brian Kemp
Yes ≈ 34% chance
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Byron Donalds
Yes ≈ 19% chance
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Tulsi Gabbard
Yes ≈ 22% chance
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Ron DeSantis
Yes ≈ 28% chance
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Nikki Haley
Yes ≈ 20% chance
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Marco Rubio
The market implies a strong belief that Marco Rubio, currently Secretary of State, will run for the Republican nomination in 2028, despite his recent praise for Trump and the absence of any campaign announcement. The real story is whether his loyalty to Trump is a stepping stone or a barrier.
Yes ≈ 62% chance
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — Greg Abbott
Yes ≈ 17% chance
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028? — J.D. Vance
Yes ≈ 82% chance
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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