KalshiEconomicsOpenUpdated Jun 21, 2026
2-year Treasury yield move on July FOMC day?
10 markets · 3d
✨ Ask about this eventMarkets in this event
Kalshi
Open
Will the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 be at least 8bps? — At least 8bps
Yes67¢
No33¢
Yes ≈ 67% chance
$116 Vol 0pts3d
Kalshi
Open
Will the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 be at least 25bps? — At least 25bps
Yes13¢
No87¢
Yes ≈ 13% chance
$110 Vol 0pts3d
Kalshi
Open
Will the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 be at least 20bps? — At least 20bps
Yes13¢
No87¢
Yes ≈ 13% chance
$110 Vol 0pts3d
Kalshi
Open
Will the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 be at least 15bps? — At least 15bps
Yes18¢
No82¢
Yes ≈ 18% chance
$395 Vol 0pts3d
Kalshi
Open
Will the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 be at least 12bps? — At least 12bps
Yes33¢
No67¢
Yes ≈ 33% chance
$213 Vol 0pts3d
Kalshi
Open
Will the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 be at least 10bps? — At least 10bps
Yes57¢
No43¢
Yes ≈ 57% chance
$241 Vol 0pts3d
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