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KalshiPoliticsOpenUpdated Jul 8, 2026

Will the carried interest loophole be closed?

4 markets · 3y

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Kalshi

Open

Will legislation that amends the Internal Revenue Code to effectively eliminate the long-term capital gains tax preference for carried interest (applicable partnership interests) become law before Jan 1, 2030? — Before Jan 1, 2030

Yes51¢

No50¢

Yes ≈ 51% chance

▲ 1pts3y

Kalshi

Open

Will legislation that amends the Internal Revenue Code to effectively eliminate the long-term capital gains tax preference for carried interest (applicable partnership interests) become law before Jan 1, 2029? — Before Jan 1, 2029

Yes26¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 26% chance

▲ 1pts2y

Kalshi

Open

Will legislation that amends the Internal Revenue Code to effectively eliminate the long-term capital gains tax preference for carried interest (applicable partnership interests) become law before Jan 1, 2028? — Before Jan 1, 2028

Yes17¢

No83¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

$5 Vol▲ 0pts1y

Kalshi

Open

Will legislation that amends the Internal Revenue Code to effectively eliminate the long-term capital gains tax preference for carried interest (applicable partnership interests) become law before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$1 Vol▲ 0pts5mo

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Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

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Will the carried interest loophole be closed? · PredictPal