Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
16 markets · 5mo
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Will a human case of Ebola disease in Zambia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
Yes ≈ 18% chance
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Tanzania be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
Yes ≈ 19% chance
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Angola be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
Yes ≈ 16% chance
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Somalia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
Yes ≈ 13% chance
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Nigeria be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
Yes ≈ 18% chance
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Ethiopia be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
Yes ≈ 12% chance
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Canada be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
Yes ≈ 13% chance
Will a human case of Ebola disease in United States be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
The market heavily discounts a US Ebola case despite the ongoing US-Iran conflict, which could disrupt public health surveillance and travel screening, but no recent headlines directly address Ebola risk.
Yes ≈ 22% chance
Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
Yes ≈ 54% chance
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Rwanda be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
Yes ≈ 24% chance
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Kenya be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
Yes ≈ 25% chance
Will a human case of Ebola disease in India be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
Yes ≈ 16% chance
Will a human case of Ebola disease in China be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
Yes ≈ 12% chance
Will a human case of Ebola disease in Burundi be reported before Jan 1, 2027?
The Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in neighboring DRC and Uganda has been declared a global health emergency (WHO, May 17), and the latest situation report shows active cross-border spread (IOM, Jul 3), making spillover into Burundi the central worry. The 31% odds reflect real proximity risk, but also the fact that no case has yet been reported there despite months of regional circulation.
Yes ≈ 30% chance
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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