KalshiPoliticsOpenUpdated Apr 9, 2026
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
2 markets · 5mo
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Kalshi
Open
Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027? — Before 2027
Despite renewed political rhetoric from Trump at the NATO summit in early July 2026, the market sees almost no chance of a US acquisition of Greenland within five months, treating the threats as performative rather than actionable.
Yes6¢
No94¢
Yes ≈ 6% chance
$497K Vol 0pts5mo
Kalshi
Open
Will the United States acquire any part of Greenland before 2029? — Before January 21, 2029
The market strongly doubts a US acquisition of Greenland before 2029, but recent high-level renewals of the idea by President Trump at the NATO summit show the topic remains a live political bargaining chip, not a dead issue.
Yes23¢
No77¢
Yes ≈ 23% chance
$2.8M Vol 0pts2y
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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