KalshiPoliticsOpenUpdated Apr 9, 2026
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
2 markets · 5mo
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Kalshi
Open
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency? — Before 2027
Despite reports that Trump and his team have discussed invoking the Insurrection Act, the odds remain low at 23% because no triggering crisis has emerged and his broader agenda has stalled, making a drastic military deployment within the next five months unlikely.
Yes23¢
No77¢
Yes ≈ 23% chance
$291K Vol 0pts5mo
Kalshi
Open
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency? — Before Jan 20, 2029
Yes45¢
No55¢
Yes ≈ 45% chance
$181K Vol 0pts2y
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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