Delaware Senate margin of victory

Yes ≈ 28% chance

Yes ≈ 37% chance

Yes ≈ 46% chance

Yes ≈ 55% chance

Yes ≈ 60% chance

Yes ≈ 66% chance

Yes ≈ 71% chance

Yes ≈ 77% chance

Yes ≈ 87% chance

✨ The market's 90% odds for Democrats winning Delaware by at least 16 points reflect the state's solid blue history and a favorable national midterm environment, but the single historical miss (2000) shows that even safe seats can produce narrower margins, making the current price possibly overconfident.

Yes ≈ 90% chance

Yes ≈ 94% chance