KalshiPoliticsOpenUpdated Apr 29, 2026
South Carolina Governor margin of victory
8 markets · 1y
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Kalshi
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Republicans, 7+ pts
Despite national headwinds from Trump's declining approval and potential redistricting backlash, the market heavily favors a Republican win by at least 7 points in deep-red South Carolina, but the absence of state-specific polling leaves the odds anchored to historical patterns rather than current dynamics.
Yes71¢
No29¢
Yes ≈ 71% chance
$55 Vol 0pts1y
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