KalshiPoliticsOpenUpdated May 7, 2026
New Mexico 02 House General Election: voter turnout
5 markets · 1y
AI overview
Markets see turnout exceeding 195K as very likely but assign only even odds above 210K, implying a central expectation around 200-205K, in line with the 2022 midterm baseline.
AI-generated · grounded in recent news + odds · informational only, not advice. Verify on the source platform.
Markets in this event
Kalshi
Open
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico 02 House General Election be above 210000? — Above 210K
Yes50¢
No50¢
Yes ≈ 50% chance
0pts1y
Kalshi
Open
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico 02 House General Election be above 195000? — Above 195K
Despite no recent headlines about New Mexico's 2nd district, the market is heavily betting that total votes will exceed 195,000, likely reflecting a baseline assumption of high midterm turnout in a competitive seat.
Yes79¢
No21¢
Yes ≈ 79% chance
$0 Vol 0pts1y
Kalshi
Open
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico 02 House General Election be above 200000? — Above 200K
Yes63¢
No38¢
Yes ≈ 63% chance
0pts1y
Kalshi
Open
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico 02 House General Election be above 230000? — Above 230K
Yes26¢
No75¢
Yes ≈ 26% chance
0pts1y
Kalshi
Open
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Mexico 02 House General Election be above 220000? — Above 220K
Yes38¢
No63¢
Yes ≈ 38% chance
0pts1y
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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