KalshiSportsOpenUpdated May 4, 2026
Kansas Basketball - Next Head Coach
25 markets · 3mo
AI overview· Updated Jul 19, 2026
The market is overwhelmingly betting against every named candidate, implying that the next Kansas head coach is either currently unknown or that incumbent Bill Self will not depart soon.
What's driving it
- • All named candidates have 'No' odds above 85%, indicating strong market conviction that none will be the next coach (stated odds).
- • The lack of a frontrunner among the listed names suggests the market expects an unforeseen candidate or a continuation of the current regime.
- • The high odds against big-name hires like Billy Donovan and Scott Drew (both 99% No) imply the market sees little chance of a splashy external hire.
The bullish case
- • If Bill Self were to leave unexpectedly, the search would likely focus on top-tier candidates like Donovan or Drew, but the market currently assigns near-zero probability to that outcome.
- • Internal candidates like Jeremy Case (No 92%) or Jacque Vaughn (No 85%) could emerge if the program prioritizes continuity, but the odds still heavily favor the field.
The bearish case
- • The market's high 'No' consensus reflects confidence that Bill Self will remain as head coach for the foreseeable future, making a change unlikely.
- • Even if Self departs, the odds suggest the next coach will be a name not currently listed, such as a rising mid-major coach or a former Kansas assistant not on the market.
What to watch
- • No specific dated events are provided in the market data; any news regarding Bill Self's contract status, retirement, or a formal coaching search would move the odds.
AI-generated · grounded in recent news + odds · informational only, not advice. Verify on the source platform.
Markets in this event
Kalshi
Open
Will John Groce be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$1.7K Vol3mo
Kalshi
Open
Will John Schertz be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$4.2K Vol3mo
Kalshi
Open
Will Jay Wright be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$3.5K Vol3mo
Kalshi
Open
Will Dusty May be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$15.7K Vol3mo
Kalshi
Open
Will Ben McCollum be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball?
Yes2¢
No98¢
Yes ≈ 2% chance
$70.2K Vol3mo
Kalshi
Open
Will Tommy Lloyd be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$63.2K Vol3mo
Kalshi
Open
Will Todd Golden be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$26.1K Vol3mo
Kalshi
Open
Will Sean Miller be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$5.5K Vol3mo
Kalshi
Open
Will Scott Drew be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$46.1K Vol3mo
Kalshi
Open
Will Nate Oats be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$10.1K Vol3mo
Kalshi
Open
Will Mick Cronin be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$17.7K Vol3mo
Kalshi
Open
Will Luke Murray be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$5.6K Vol3mo
Kalshi
Open
Will Jacque Vaughn be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball?
Yes13¢
No87¢
Yes ≈ 13% chance
$270K Vol3mo
Kalshi
Open
Will Jeremy Case be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball?
Yes7¢
No93¢
Yes ≈ 7% chance
$36.8K Vol3mo
Kalshi
Open
Will Fred Hoiberg be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$19.4K Vol3mo
Kalshi
Open
Will Dan Hurley be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$3.9K Vol3mo
Kalshi
Open
Will Dennis Gates be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$214 Vol3mo
Kalshi
Open
Will Brad Stevens be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$6.7K Vol3mo
Kalshi
Open
Will Billy Donovan be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball?
Yes1¢
No99¢
Yes ≈ 1% chance
$134K Vol3mo
Kalshi
Open
Will Aaron Miles be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball?
Yes3¢
No97¢
Yes ≈ 3% chance
$18.1K Vol3mo
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
optional stance
Loading…