Oscar nominees: Best International Feature Film
15 markets · 1y
The International Feature Film race is unusually polarized, with three films (Fjord, The Black Ball, 1949/Fatherland) above 80% Yes and three others (Hope, Parallel Tales, Coward) above 60% No, suggesting the market sees a small set of frontrunners and a long tail of also-rans, not a wide-open field.
AI-generated · grounded in recent news + odds · informational only, not advice. Verify on the source platform.
Markets in this event
2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations? — The Beloved
Yes ≈ 8% chance
2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations? — Possible Love
Yes ≈ 20% chance
2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations? — Fjord
Yes ≈ 91% chance
2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations? — Rose
Yes ≈ 23% chance
2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations? — Hope
Yes ≈ 8% chance
2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations? — Minotaur
Yes ≈ 48% chance
2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations? — Coward
Yes ≈ 37% chance
Bitter Christmas
Despite Pedro Almodóvar's strong Oscar track record, the market's 11% confidence in 'Bitter Christmas' getting nominated suggests scepticism that the film, though well-reviewed, is too familiar and lacks the festival pedigree needed to break through a crowded field.
Yes ≈ 11% chance
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
Loading…