Jobs numbers in Aug 2026?
13 markets · 1mo
✨ Ask about this eventMarkets in this event
Will above 90000 jobs be added in August 2026? — Above 90,000
Yes ≈ 48% chance
Will above 80000 jobs be added in August 2026? — Above 80,000
Yes ≈ 55% chance
Will above 70000 jobs be added in August 2026? — Above 70,000
Yes ≈ 52% chance
Will above 60000 jobs be added in August 2026? — Above 60,000
Yes ≈ 53% chance
Will above 50000 jobs be added in August 2026? — Above 50,000
Yes ≈ 74% chance
Will above 40000 jobs be added in August 2026? — Above 40,000
Yes ≈ 80% chance
Will above 30000 jobs be added in August 2026? — Above 30,000
Yes ≈ 79% chance
Will above -25000 jobs be added in August 2026? — Above -25,000
Yes ≈ 94% chance
Will above 20000 jobs be added in August 2026? — Above 20,000
The market heavily favors a YES (86%) despite a weak June jobs report that spiked gold and bitcoin, suggesting traders expect a rebound in August payrolls above the 20,000 threshold rather than a continued downward trend.
Yes ≈ 85% chance
Will above 125000 jobs be added in August 2026? — Above 125,000
Yes ≈ 39% chance
Will above 100000 jobs be added in August 2026? — Above 100,000
Yes ≈ 44% chance
Will above 10000 jobs be added in August 2026? — Above 10,000
The market is pricing an 89% chance of above 10,000 jobs added in August 2026, but the real story is that recent weak June jobs data—sparking gold and bitcoin rallies—has shifted rate expectations and could signal a cooling labor market, making the low bar of 10,000 jobs seem very likely.
Yes ≈ 88% chance
Will above 0 jobs be added in August 2026? — Above 0
Yes ≈ 91% chance
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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