KalshiPoliticsOpenUpdated Apr 9, 2026
Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
1 markets · 5mo
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Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026? — Before 2027
Despite Reza Pahlavi's active campaigning and the power vacuum after Khamenei's death, the market heavily doubts US recognition because the Trump administration has expressed skepticism and wants a role in selecting Iran's next leader, not necessarily Pahlavi.
Yes7¢
No93¢
Yes ≈ 7% chance
$994K Vol 0pts5mo
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