When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
4 markets · 8y
The Riemann hypothesis remains unsolved after 166 years, and the markets heavily discount a resolution before 2035, reflecting a consensus that a proof is not imminent despite ongoing progress in related number theory.
AI-generated · grounded in recent news + odds · informational only, not advice. Verify on the source platform.
Markets in this event
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2035? — Before 2035
The market heavily discounts a Millennium Prize for the Riemann hypothesis before 2035, reflecting the problem's extreme difficulty and history of false claims, despite periodic media attention and related mathematical advances.
Yes ≈ 22% chance
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2032? — Before 2032
The market heavily discounts a Millennium Prize for the Riemann hypothesis before 2032, reflecting the problem's 166-year resistance to proof and a track record of false claims (like the 2015 Nigerian professor), even as elite number theorists (e.g., Fields Medalist Maynard) advance related prime-number work without solving it directly.
Yes ≈ 18% chance
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2030? — Before 2030
Yes ≈ 17% chance
Will a Millennium Prize be awarded for Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2028? — Before 2028
The market heavily discounts a Millennium Prize for the Riemann hypothesis by 2028, reflecting decades of failed high-profile claims and no credible breakthrough, despite the prize's enduring allure.
Yes ≈ 5% chance
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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