Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
12 markets · 5mo
The Clarity Act enjoys broad bipartisan support in the market, with high Yes odds for most senators, but Rand Paul's nearly 50-50 No odds highlight a potential swing vote that could make or break a solid coalition.
AI-generated · grounded in recent news + odds · informational only, not advice. Verify on the source platform.
Markets in this event
Will Andy Kim vote for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)?
Yes ≈ 23% chance
Will Mike Lee vote for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)?
The 55% odds reflect a mild expectation that Mike Lee will support a crypto market structure bill, but no recent headline directly addresses his stance on crypto, leaving the market driven by his general libertarian and pro-business reputation rather than any specific event.
Yes ≈ 56% chance
Will Josh Hawley vote for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)?
Yes ≈ 30% chance
Will Ruben Gallego vote for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)?
Yes ≈ 35% chance
Will Mark Warner vote for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)?
Despite high odds of 71%, the recent headlines show Senator Warner is almost entirely occupied with national security and Virginia state politics, not crypto legislation, making the market's confidence seem driven by generic partisan assumptions rather than any concrete signal from Warner himself.
Yes ≈ 55% chance
Will Jerry Moran vote for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)?
Yes ≈ 54% chance
Catherine Cortez Masto
The market is pricing a slight edge for Cortez Masto voting yes, but her recent legislative focus on tribal food assistance and tourism bills shows no direct engagement with crypto market structure, making the odds more a reflection of generic Democratic positioning than specific signals.
Yes ≈ 55% chance
Will Rand Paul vote for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE)?
Yes ≈ 14% chance
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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