KalshiPoliticsOpenUpdated Apr 9, 2026
Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?
4 markets · 3y
✨ Ask about this eventMarkets in this event
Kalshi
Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2030? — Before Jan 1, 2030
Yes43¢
No57¢
Yes ≈ 43% chance
$20.5K Vol 0pts3y
Kalshi
Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2029? — Before Jan 1, 2029
Yes37¢
No63¢
Yes ≈ 37% chance
$19.3K Vol 0pts2y
Kalshi
Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2028? — Before Jan 1, 2028
Yes21¢
No79¢
Yes ≈ 21% chance
$34.5K Vol 0pts1y
Kalshi
Open
Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Yes7¢
No93¢
Yes ≈ 7% chance
$185K Vol 3pts5mo
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