Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
4 markets · 5mo
The markets collectively assign low probability to Trump tariffing these four sectors in 2026, with foreign-made films and Canadian aircraft seen as especially unlikely, while critical minerals sit near a coin flip—indicating traders see targeted protectionism as less likely than broad rhetoric might suggest.
AI-generated · grounded in recent news + odds · informational only, not advice. Verify on the source platform.
Markets in this event
Foreign-made films
Despite Trump's 2025 proposal for a 100% tariff on foreign films, no executive action has been taken in 2026, and the market heavily discounts a reversal as of mid-year.
Yes ≈ 10% chance
Will Trump issue any executive action on imposing tariffs specifically on wind turbines, where the executive action must explicitly reference wind turbines in its title, operative text, or fact sheet (not merely in an attached tariff schedule annex) during in 2026? — Wind turbines
Yes ≈ 28% chance
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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