Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
12 markets · 5mo
✨ Ask about this eventMarkets in this event
Will ByteDance have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
Yes ≈ 4% chance
Will xAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
Yes ≈ 21% chance
Will OpenAI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
Yes ≈ 37% chance
Will Nvidia have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
Yes ≈ 8% chance
Will Moonshot AI have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
Yes ≈ 21% chance
Will Mistral have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
Yes ≈ 3% chance
Will Meta have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
Meta's AI models are not currently top-ranked, and recent headlines highlight reputational and governance issues that could hinder their competitive standing, making a #1 ranking by 2027 unlikely.
Yes ≈ 14% chance
Will Deepseek have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
DeepSeek's rapid adoption and cost advantages have made it a major player, but the market heavily doubts it will achieve a #1 AI model ranking before 2027 because incumbents like OpenAI and Google continue to release top-tier models and DeepSeek has never topped a major leaderboard.
Yes ≈ 5% chance
Will Baidu have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
Baidu's Ernie 5.1 ranks only 4th globally, and the market sees virtually no path to #1 by year-end 2027, despite strong AI cloud growth and cost improvements.
Yes ≈ 4% chance
Will Alibaba have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
Yes ≈ 10% chance
Will 01A1 have a top-ranked AI model before 2027?
Yes ≈ 9% chance
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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