Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?

What's driving it

• • Markets assign 99% probability to a Trump-MBS call, likely reflecting ongoing U.S.-Saudi diplomatic engagement and Trump's past close ties with the crown prince (no clear catalyst recently).
• • The 70% Yes for Sanae Takaichi suggests expectations of a call with Japan's prime minister, possibly tied to trade or security discussions (no clear catalyst recently).
• • The 64% Yes for Ron DeSantis indicates moderate confidence in a conversation, likely due to their past rivalry and potential 2028 primary dynamics (no clear catalyst recently).
• • The 65% No for Delcy Rodriguez implies uncertainty about a Trump-Venezuela government contact, possibly due to mixed signals on U.S.-Venezuela policy (no clear catalyst recently).

What to watch

• • Any public statement from Trump or his team about planned calls in July 2026 would sharply move odds toward Yes for named individuals.
• • A major international event, such as a summit or crisis involving Saudi Arabia, Japan, or Venezuela, could trigger calls and shift probabilities (direction depends on the event).
• • Release of Trump's July schedule or media reports of outreach attempts would provide concrete evidence, likely increasing Yes odds for contacted figures.