USDT reserve share in T-bills at end of 2026?
8 markets · 7mo
✨ Ask about this eventMarkets in this event
Will percentage of USDT reserves held in U.S. Treasury Bills at the end of 2026 be above 70.0%? — Above 70.0%
The market heavily discounts Tether reaching 70% US Treasury Bill reserves by end-2026 because recent data shows gold has overtaken Treasuries in its portfolio, while new EU stablecoin rules are forcing USDT off-ramps and creating competitive pressure from bank-backed alternatives.
Yes ≈ 8% chance
Will percentage of USDT reserves held in U.S. Treasury Bills at the end of 2026 be above 68.0%? — Above 68.0%
Yes ≈ 7% chance
Will percentage of USDT reserves held in U.S. Treasury Bills at the end of 2026 be above 66.0%? — Above 66.0%
Yes ≈ 22% chance
Will percentage of USDT reserves held in U.S. Treasury Bills at the end of 2026 be above 64.0%? — Above 64.0%
The market strongly doubts Tether will revert to holding over 64% of its USDT reserves in U.S. Treasury Bills by year-end 2026, as gold has already surpassed T-bills in its portfolio, and regulatory pressures from the EU are pushing Tether out of that market rather than toward more Treasury holdings.
Yes ≈ 24% chance
Will percentage of USDT reserves held in U.S. Treasury Bills at the end of 2026 be above 62.0%? — Above 62.0%
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will percentage of USDT reserves held in U.S. Treasury Bills at the end of 2026 be above 60.0%? — Above 60.0%
Yes ≈ 62% chance
Will percentage of USDT reserves held in U.S. Treasury Bills at the end of 2026 be above 58.0%? — Above 58.0%
Yes ≈ 40% chance
Will percentage of USDT reserves held in U.S. Treasury Bills at the end of 2026 be above 56.0%? — Above 56.0%
Yes ≈ 6% chance
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
Loading…