KalshiEconomicsOpenUpdated 2d ago

10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?

15 markets · 4d

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Markets in this event

Kalshi

Open

4.84% or above

Yes13¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 13% chance

2pts4d

Kalshi

Open

4.82% or above

Yes17¢

No84¢

Yes ≈ 17% chance

2pts4d

Kalshi

Open

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Jul 31, 2026? — 4.8% or above

Yes20¢

No80¢

Yes ≈ 20% chance

$7 Vol 0pts4d

Kalshi

Open

4.78% or above

Yes27¢

No74¢

Yes ≈ 27% chance

2pts4d

Kalshi

Open

4.76% or above

Yes33¢

No68¢

Yes ≈ 33% chance

1pts4d

Kalshi

Open

4.74% or above

Yes39¢

No62¢

Yes ≈ 39% chance

1pts4d

Kalshi

Open

4.72% or above

Yes45¢

No55¢

Yes ≈ 45% chance

1pts4d

Kalshi

Open

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.69% on Jul 31, 2026? — 4.7% or above

Yes51¢

No49¢

Yes ≈ 51% chance

$25 Vol 1pts4d

Kalshi

Open

4.68% or above

Yes56¢

No44¢

Yes ≈ 56% chance

2pts4d

Kalshi

Open

4.66% or above

Yes63¢

No37¢

Yes ≈ 63% chance

$103 Vol 16pts4d

Kalshi

Open

4.64% or above

Yes67¢

No33¢

Yes ≈ 67% chance

$100 Vol 3pts4d

Kalshi

Open

4.62% or above

Yes75¢

No26¢

Yes ≈ 75% chance

2pts4d

Kalshi

Open

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.59% on Jul 31, 2026? — 4.6% or above

Yes80¢

No20¢

Yes ≈ 80% chance

$200 Vol 1pts4d

Kalshi

Open

4.58% or above

Yes84¢

No17¢

Yes ≈ 84% chance

2pts4d

Kalshi

Open

4.56% or above

Yes88¢

No13¢

Yes ≈ 88% chance

2pts4d

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