WA-08 primary: who will advance?

Yes ≈ 76% chance

Yes ≈ 23% chance

✨ Kim Schrier's incumbency and active bipartisan legislative record make her primary advance virtually assured, despite a six-candidate field and intra-party divides over Israel aid.

Yes ≈ 99% chance

✨ Keith Arnold is one of six candidates in WA-08's top-two primary, but the market gives him only a 2% chance of advancing, reflecting a lack of any visible campaign or media presence despite the crowded field.

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Yes ≈ 15% chance