Who will win a WTA Grand Slam in 2026?

✨ The market strongly expects Victoria Mboko to miss the remainder of the 2026 Grand Slam season after her withdrawal from the Canadian Open due to a knee injury, which also raises questions about her preparation and form for the upcoming majors.

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Yes ≈ 16% chance

✨ Madison Keys's 2026 Grand Slam hopes are effectively over after a fourth-round exit at Wimbledon, the last major before the U.S. Open, leaving her with only one remaining chance this year and no recent title form to suggest a turnaround.

Yes ≈ 3% chance

✨ Leylah Fernandez's Grand Slam hopes for 2026 hinge entirely on the US Open after a poor first half including a loss to Katie Boulter and an early Wimbledon exit, with her preferred hard-court season offering a final, narrow window.

Yes ≈ 10% chance

✨ Jessica Pegula's Grand Slam hopes for 2026 took a hit after losing to Coco Gauff in the Wimbledon quarterfinals, yet her 35% odds reflect a lingering belief that she can still capture a major on hard courts this year, especially with the US Open looming.

Yes ≈ 3% chance

✨ Jasmine Paolini's foot injury and withdrawal from events have sharply reduced her chances of winning a Grand Slam this year, with only the US Open remaining as a possible venue.

Yes ≈ 23% chance

✨ Despite Swiatek's dominance on clay, her shock Wimbledon exit to Alex Eala and a resurgent Coco Gauff have cratered confidence that she will win any major in 2026, making the 8% price a bet on French Open form rather than the full calendar.

Yes ≈ 8% chance

✨ Raducanu's 2026 Grand Slam chances are priced at a near-certain No (2% Yes) because she has not competed at Wimbledon and the media narrative has shifted entirely to a new British outsider, Arthur Fery, being compared to her 2021 run.

Yes ≈ 2% chance

✨ Emma Navarro's odds of winning a Grand Slam in 2026 are at 7% following her third-round Wimbledon exit and the revelation of a hypothyroidism diagnosis, leaving her with only the US Open as a remaining opportunity this season.

Yes ≈ 7% chance

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Yes ≈ 14% chance

Yes ≈ 19% chance

✨ Amanda Anisimova's 2026 Grand Slam hopes have dimmed after a third-round Wimbledon exit following last year's final run, but at 19% the market still prices in a significant chance she could rally at the remaining majors this year.

Yes ≈ 18% chance