PolymarketPoliticsOpenUpdated 23m ago
How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?
6 markets · —
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Will Democratic House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? — <3
Yes9¢
No91¢
Yes ≈ 9% chance
$275 Vol 0pts—
Polymarket
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Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? — 4-6
Yes10¢
No90¢
Yes ≈ 10% chance
$657 Vol 0pts—
Polymarket
Open
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? — 7-9
Yes25¢
No75¢
Yes ≈ 25% chance
$286 Vol 0pts—
Polymarket
Open
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? — 10-12
Yes41¢
No59¢
Yes ≈ 41% chance
$531 Vol 4pts—
Polymarket
Open
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? — 13-15
Yes40¢
No60¢
Yes ≈ 40% chance
$559 Vol 1pts—
Polymarket
Open
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? — >15
Yes3¢
No97¢
Yes ≈ 3% chance
$586 Vol 0pts—
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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