What will happen before GTA VI?

Yes ≈ 50% chance

✨ Despite a sharp drop in ceasefire expectations over the past week, the market still prices a ceasefire before GTA VI's release as more likely than not, driven by Ukraine's continued openness to negotiations even as Russia escalates military action.

Yes ≈ 100% chance

Yes ≈ 51% chance

Yes ≈ 51% chance

Yes ≈ 50% chance

Yes ≈ 50% chance

Yes ≈ 51% chance

Yes ≈ 50% chance

Yes ≈ 51% chance

Yes ≈ 100% chance