PolymarketTechOpenUpdated 31m ago
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
14 markets · 5mo
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Polymarket
Open
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Google's path to the #1 AI model is complicated by a last-minute architectural rebuild of Gemini 3.5 Pro, but its strategy of flooding the market with lower-cost models could still yield a top rank via breadth, not just raw capability.
Yes24¢
No76¢
Yes ≈ 24% chance
$16.6K Vol 0pts5mo
Polymarket
Open
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Yes30¢
No71¢
Yes ≈ 30% chance
$18K Vol5mo
Polymarket
Open
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Yes7¢
No94¢
Yes ≈ 7% chance
$2.1K Vol5mo
Polymarket
Open
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Yes13¢
No88¢
Yes ≈ 13% chance
$8.2K Vol5mo
Polymarket
Open
Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Yes10¢
No91¢
Yes ≈ 10% chance
$2.4K Vol5mo
Polymarket
Open
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Yes7¢
No94¢
Yes ≈ 7% chance
$1.9K Vol5mo
Polymarket
Open
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Yes13¢
No87¢
Yes ≈ 13% chance
$3.8K Vol 0pts5mo
Polymarket
Open
Will Amazon have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Yes8¢
No93¢
Yes ≈ 8% chance
$2.7K Vol5mo
Polymarket
Open
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Yes8¢
No92¢
Yes ≈ 8% chance
$2.5K Vol5mo
Polymarket
Open
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Yes3¢
No97¢
Yes ≈ 3% chance
$6.4K Vol5mo
Polymarket
Open
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Yes8¢
No93¢
Yes ≈ 8% chance
$2.9K Vol 0pts5mo
Polymarket
Open
Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Yes7¢
No94¢
Yes ≈ 7% chance
$2K Vol5mo
Polymarket
Open
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Yes17¢
No83¢
Yes ≈ 17% chance
$12K Vol 0pts5mo
Polymarket
Open
Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Yes8¢
No93¢
Yes ≈ 8% chance
$3.5K Vol5mo
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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