Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

✨ The market heavily doubts Opensea will launch a token with a $500M+ FDV, reflecting skepticism about both the timing and the valuation target, despite the platform's prominent position in NFTs.

Yes ≈ 18% chance

✨ The 13% odds reflect that OpenSea's promised Q1 2026 token launch has not materialized by late July, and the market sees a high chance of no launch this year or a sub-$1B FDV.

Yes ≈ 13% chance

✨ OpenSea's token launch has been repeatedly delayed (from Q1 to Q2 2026) with no concrete date yet, and the $3B FDV target appears ambitious given the current NFT market downturn and lack of trading momentum, explaining the 95% No odds.

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Yes ≈ 21% chance

Yes ≈ 21% chance

Yes ≈ 18% chance