Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Yes ≈ 88% chance

Yes ≈ 16% chance

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Yes ≈ 42% chance

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Yes ≈ 11% chance

Yes ≈ 6% chance

Yes ≈ 40% chance

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Yes ≈ 1% chance

✨ Despite a 2% probability, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan's chance of reaching the second round is near-zero because he is a marginal sovereignist candidate who has never broken 5% and is squeezed by Marine Le Pen's dominant far-right bloc and the mainstream right's consolidation.

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Yes ≈ 4% chance

Yes ≈ 33% chance

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Yes ≈ 0% chance

Yes ≈ 4% chance