Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
21 markets · 5mo
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Will Waymo launch in Baltimore, MD by December 31 2026?
Yes ≈ 23% chance
Will Waymo launch in Boston, MA by December 31 2026?
Yes ≈ 6% chance
Will Waymo launch in Charlotte, NC by December 31 2026?
Yes ≈ 57% chance
Will Waymo launch in Chicago, IL by December 31 2026?
Yes ≈ 25% chance
Will Waymo launch in Detroit, MI by December 31 2026?
Yes ≈ 54% chance
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?
Yes ≈ 83% chance
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?
Yes ≈ 79% chance
Will Waymo launch in London, UK by December 31 2026?
Yes ≈ 18% chance
Minneapolis, MN
Despite recent 3-point uptick in Yes odds, the 7-day 8-point drop reflects genuine regulatory hurdles in Minneapolis, where the city council is actively drafting a permitting framework and autonomous-vehicle registration rules rather than clearing a path for Waymo's launch by year-end.
Yes ≈ 26% chance
Will Waymo launch in New York, NY by December 31 2026?
Yes ≈ 20% chance
Philadelphia, PA
The odds of a Waymo Philadelphia launch by year-end have surged 17 points in a single day, yet the provided headlines from April and May show only regulatory friction—implying that the recent jump was likely triggered by an unacknowledged regulatory or corporate development.
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Waymo launch in Portland, OR by December 31 2026?
Waymo's mapping in Portland (Portland Monthly, Jul 23) is a concrete step, but odds have dropped 6 points in a week as the city weighs robotaxi rules (KATU, Jul 17), suggesting traders see regulatory hurdles as the bigger near-term barrier than operational readiness.
Yes ≈ 16% chance
Will Waymo launch in San Diego, CA by December 31 2026?
Yes ≈ 86% chance
Will Waymo launch in Seattle, WA by December 31 2026?
Yes ≈ 20% chance
Will Waymo launch in St. Louis, MO by December 31 2026?
Yes ≈ 51% chance
Will Waymo launch in Tampa, FL by December 31 2026?
Yes ≈ 96% chance
Will Waymo launch in Tokyo, Japan by December 31 2026?
Yes ≈ 47% chance
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