Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above ___ end of July?

Yes ≈ 97% chance

Yes ≈ 98% chance

✨ The stock is trading near $200, making a close above $160 nearly certain, but recent AI sector pressure and a bearish shift in prediction market sentiment in late June introduce a slim tail risk.

Yes ≈ 98% chance

Yes ≈ 93% chance

Yes ≈ 95% chance

Yes ≈ 91% chance

Yes ≈ 77% chance

✨ Nvidia's odds of closing July above $210 collapsed 26 points in 24 hours, driven by a broad AI semiconductor selloff and a specific US export policy that slashed its Asian buyer base, while a Goldman Sachs valuation call from two weeks ago now looks stale.

Yes ≈ 41% chance

✨ Despite a slight bullish drift over the past week, a sharp 14-point drop in the last 24 hours suggests fresh negative sentiment, likely tied to the ongoing AI semiconductor selloff and trade restrictions on Asian buyers, making a close above $220 by month-end highly unlikely in the eyes of traders.

Yes ≈ 12% chance

Yes ≈ 7% chance

✨ Despite a 3% odds, the market reflects near-certainty that Nvidia won't reach $240 by July's end, driven by regulatory headwinds and sector weakness, with the stock at ~$204. The real story is the consistent erosion of any bullish catalysts, making a 17%+ rally in two weeks highly improbable.

Yes ≈ 5% chance

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Yes ≈ 0% chance