Elon Musk # tweets July 21 - July 28, 2026?
26 markets · 2d
Markets are pricing near-zero probability for all explicitly listed tweet count ranges, except a 4% chance for 140–159, indicating the expected number falls in an unlisted interval (e.g., 20–59 or 160–399).
What's driving it
- • No recent headlines provided; the odds reflect a structural belief that Musk's tweet volume will not land in the narrow brackets offered, likely due to his unpredictable posting patterns (no clear catalyst recently).
- • The sole non-100% market (140–159 at 96% No) suggests a very small chance of a moderate burst, but traders overwhelmingly expect a count outside all listed ranges.
The bullish case
- • The 4% chance on 140–159 indicates a remote possibility that a specific event triggers a flurry of tweets, hitting that bucket.
- • If Musk engages in a public controversy or product launch, his tweet volume could spike into the 140–159 range, but the market sees this as unlikely.
The bearish case
- • All explicitly listed ranges except 140–159 are at 100% No, meaning traders are virtually certain the count will not fall into those brackets.
- • The 96% No on 140–159 implies the market believes the true count is elsewhere, likely in an unlisted interval such as 20–59 or 160–399, reflecting a bet on a different concentration.
What to watch
- • No dated upcoming events are provided; a major Musk announcement or viral incident could shift odds toward the 140–159 bucket or another listed range.
- • If a scheduled earnings call or SpaceX launch occurs, tweet volume might increase, but without specific dates, no catalyst is identifiable.
AI-generated · grounded in recent news + odds · informational only, not advice. Verify on the source platform.
Markets in this event
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? — <20
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes ≈ 3% chance
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes ≈ 13% chance
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes ≈ 27% chance
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes ≈ 26% chance
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes ≈ 18% chance
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes ≈ 9% chance
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes ≈ 3% chance
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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