Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
28 markets · 5mo
The next Israeli Prime Minister will be determined by the next Knesset election, which must occur by October 2026. Current markets heavily favor 'No' on each named candidate, reflecting uncertainty about who will emerge as the next leader. The outcome hinges on coalition dynamics, public opinion shifts, and potential early elections.
The case for YES
- • Benjamin Netanyahu remains the leader of the largest party (Likud) and has a history of political survival, with current odds at 38% for a 'Yes' resolution.
- • Naftali Bennett has previously served as Prime Minister and could return if a right-wing coalition coalesces around him, though his 'Yes' odds are only 13%.
- • Yair Lapid leads the opposition Yesh Atid party and could become Prime Minister if a center-left bloc wins the next election, despite 'No' odds at 100%.
The case for NO
- • Benjamin Netanyahu's 'No' odds are 62%, reflecting legal challenges and potential coalition difficulties that may prevent him from forming a government.
- • Naftali Bennett's 'No' odds are 87%, indicating low market confidence in his ability to reassemble a diverse coalition after his previous government collapsed.
- • Avigdor Lieberman's 'No' odds are 97%, suggesting his narrow constituency and polarizing stance make a premiership unlikely in the current political landscape.
AI-generated · grounded in recent news + odds · informational only, not advice. Verify on the source platform.
Markets in this event
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes ≈ 52% chance
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Will another person be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Other
Yes ≈ 0% chance
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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