Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 27000 at the end of Jul 27, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
🗂 Part of event: Nasdaq-100 price range on Jul 27, 2026 at 4pm EDT? →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 2% chance — almost no chance.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 2% right now.
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Resolution criteria
If the end-of-day Nasdaq 100 index value on July 27, 2026 is below 27000, then the market resolves to Yes.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗Related markets
Crude Oil’s next move: Pump to $120 or Dump to $55?
The market is nearly evenly split between a crash to $55 and a surge to $120, but the small recent shift toward the dump scenario reflects that near-term demand weakness and infrastructure investment are outweighing supply disruption risks for now.
2 outcomes
S&P 500 Futures Price (7050)
Despite rising oil prices on Iran headlines, the market assigns an 81% probability that S&P 500 futures will meet the 7050 threshold, suggesting investors expect strong earnings reports to outweigh energy cost concerns.
Yes ≈ 81% chance