Will Magnus Carlsen finish top 8 in the Titled Tuesday chess competition on Jul 28, 2026?
🗂 Part of event: Titled Tuesday Top 8: Jul 28 →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 46% chance — a coin toss.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 46% right now.
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
Loading…
How it resolves
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Resolution criteria
If Magnus Carlsen finishes in the top 8 in the Titled Tuesday weekly chess competition, originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 11:00am EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗Related markets
Mohamed Salah will join PSG by September 1, 2026
Liverpool are actively blocking a PSG move for Mohamed Salah by pursuing his replacement and even bidding for a PSG target, making a transfer highly unlikely despite persistent rumors.
Yes ≈ 3% chance
Will Ruben Amorim remain Man United's head coach for 2026/27 season?
Despite multiple June 15 reports confirming Ruben Amorim's appointment as AC Milan head coach after exiting Manchester United, the market remains deadlocked at 50/50, suggesting either a lag in pricing or uncertainty about the exact definition of 'remain for 2026/27 season'.
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Will Ødegaard join Man United by Sep 2, 2026?
The market is a pure toss-up, reflecting conflicting signals: Ødegaard has reportedly pushed for a move, but Arsenal have not confirmed any agreement, and the rarity of direct transfers between the two clubs keeps the outcome uncertain.
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Despite the World Cup being a traditional Ballon d'Or barometer, this year's race is being reshaped by club performances and a narrative that the best player might not have been at the World Cup at all (talkSPORT, Jul 23).
89 outcomes