Arseneault vs Xu
🗂 Part of event: Arseneault vs Xu →Tap a candidate to show/hide its line · double-tap to isolate
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Ariana Arseneault at about a 88% chance — very likely.
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled by Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated US exchange, against the official source named in each contract (e.g. a government release or election certification), with an Outcome Review Committee as a backstop for disputes.
Resolution criteria
Arseneault vs Xu (Jul 26)
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Kalshi ↗Related markets
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