Which chess players will be ranked as No. 1 player in the world at any point in their life?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Vincent Keymer at about a 44% chance.
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
List of FIDE chess world number ones (Wikipedia) Since the FIDE rating list inception there were a total of seven players holding the number one spot at any point in their careers, as of April 2024. Which other players will manage to join the club? Anyone is welcome to add answers, duplicates will be removed. Only the rating list considered the most "respectable" will be taken into account, which today (2024) is the FIDE Standard rating. Will be resolved Yes the moment a respective player becomes worlds No. 1, and No the moment a player is both at least 50 years old and is retired, or, well, if a player dies earlier.
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