In which city will the 2036 Olympic Games be held?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Other at about a 23% chance.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Resolves to the city (or equally to all cities) named in the common name for the Games, e.g. Paris 2024. Background: https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Bids_for_the_2036_Summer_Olympics
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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108 outcomes