Who will be the first pitcher to throw a solo no-hitter in the 2026 MLB season?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: NO SOLO NO-HITTER IN 2026 at about a 45% chance — a coin toss.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Last year, there were no solo no-hitters recorded in Major League Baseball. (https://www.mlb.com/news/mlb-no-hitter-drought-in-2025) The market resolves to YES for a pitcher once https://www.baseball-reference.com/friv/no-hitters-and-perfect-games.shtml is updated for a pitcher's performance in the "Individual No-Hitters" chart on that webpage as the first of the season. The market resolves to NO for a pitcher if another pitcher throws a solo no-hitter. "NO SOLO NO-HITTER IN 2026" resolves to YES after closing day, if and only if there are no recorded solo no-hitters during the regular season. TRADERS PERMITTED TO ADD ANSWERS RECOMMEND SORTING MARKETS A-Z MARKET CREATOR DOES NOT TRADE IN THIS MARKET
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
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