Which country will win IMO 2027?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: People's Republic of China (PRC) at about a 92% chance — very likely.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
Loading…
How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
Resolves to the country that wins the International Math Olympiad (IMO) in 2027, or porportionally in case of a tie. Resolves N/A if the IMO is not held in 2027.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
Mohamed Salah will join PSG by September 1, 2026
Liverpool are actively blocking a PSG move for Mohamed Salah by pursuing his replacement and even bidding for a PSG target, making a transfer highly unlikely despite persistent rumors.
Yes ≈ 3% chance
Will Ruben Amorim remain Man United's head coach for 2026/27 season?
Despite multiple June 15 reports confirming Ruben Amorim's appointment as AC Milan head coach after exiting Manchester United, the market remains deadlocked at 50/50, suggesting either a lag in pricing or uncertainty about the exact definition of 'remain for 2026/27 season'.
Yes ≈ 50% chance
Apollon Limassol FC vs FC Dila Gori — Winner (1X2)
2 outcomes
Will Ødegaard join Man United by Sep 2, 2026?
The market is a pure toss-up, reflecting conflicting signals: Ødegaard has reportedly pushed for a move, but Arsenal have not confirmed any agreement, and the rarity of direct transfers between the two clubs keeps the outcome uncertain.
Yes ≈ 50% chance