Which non-European or non-South American team will be the first to win the FIFA world cup?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: Other at about a 18% chance.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
All previous World Cup winners have been from Europe or South America. This will keep extending until a team that is not European or South American wins. Currently listing the top ten teams from the Men's Coca Cola rankings as options. Related market: https://manifold.markets/m2/will-a-noneuropean-or-nonsouth-amer
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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