Will football ever come home this century?
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 50% chance — a coin toss.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 50% right now.
Data from Manifold’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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Yes ≈ 3% chance
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Yes ≈ 50% chance
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2 outcomes
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The market is a pure toss-up, reflecting conflicting signals: Ødegaard has reportedly pushed for a move, but Arsenal have not confirmed any agreement, and the rarity of direct transfers between the two clubs keeps the outcome uncertain.
Yes ≈ 50% chance