How many games will LeBron James end his NBA career having played?
💡 What the odds say
Most likely: More than 1504 (John Stockton) at about a 100% chance — almost certain.
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How it resolves
Resolved by whoever created the market, at their discretion per the question's description. It's play-money (Mana) and not tied to an official source — treat it as a community forecast.
Resolution criteria
As of November 7, 2024, LeBron James has played in 1500 NBA games, which places him 6th on the all-time games played leaderboard. [image]With how many games played will he finish on the all-time leaderboard (presuming he does actually retire at some point, and does not simply play forever, like an immortal basketball god, in which case all these options will resolve YES)? Independent multiple choice, all options that are true will resolve YES. In other words, if he ends his career having played 1530 games, then the Dirk and John Stockton options would both resolve YES, and all other options would resolve NO.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Manifold ↗Related markets
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