Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
🗂 Part of event: “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” Rotten Tomatoes Score? →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 13% chance — very unlikely.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 13% right now.
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
Loading…
How it resolves
Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.
⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes “All Critics” Tomatometer score for Spider-Man: Brand New Day (2026) is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on August 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to “No” if no data is available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Polymarket ↗Related markets
"The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office
The market overwhelmingly favors the 86-92m bracket despite Forbes and Deadline projecting $84-85M for the second weekend, indicating traders are betting on a stronger-than-forecast Sunday performance or a favorable estimate revision.
6 outcomes
Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026?
The market heavily doubts ZywOo will add 10+ HLTV MVP awards in under 18 months, reflecting both a slowing pace of accolades and rising competition from younger stars like donk, despite his individual brilliance.
Yes ≈ 12% chance
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
The field is extremely concentrated, with Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 83% and Avengers: Doomsday at 11% together commanding 94% of the probability. The only recent shift is The Odyssey's strong opening and second weekend (TheWrap, Jul 25), which boosted its odds from negligible to 3% but remains constrained by its July release date limiting calendar-year gross.
28 outcomes
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
The market is pricing a near-zero probability of the Second Coming by end-2026, treating it as a theological event with no empirical precedent, while recent headlines about 'returns' refer to a musical revival and a film, not actual prophecy fulfillment.
Yes ≈ 2% chance
Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)
5 outcomes