Andrii Sybiha appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Foreign Affairs by July 31?
🗂 Part of event: Andrii Sybiha appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Foreign Affairs by July 31? →💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 2% chance — almost no chance.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 2% right now.
Data from Polymarket’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
Loading…
How it resolves
Settled on-chain by UMA's optimistic oracle: once an outcome is clear, anyone can propose the result, which then enters a challenge window where it can be disputed with evidence before it finalizes.
⚖️ A proposed outcome can be disputed during a challenge window before it's final.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Verkhovna Rada appoints Andrii Sybiha as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine by July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An appointment will be considered to have occurred when the Verkhovna Rada adopts a resolution appointing Andrii Sybiha as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine. A nomination submitted by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, parliamentary committee recommendation, public statement, media report, expression of intent, informal announcement, or appointment of Andrii Sybiha to perform the minister’s duties on an acting basis will not qualify. An appointment resolution adopted by the Verkhovna Rada before the market deadline will qualify regardless of when Andrii Sybiha takes the oath of office or begins performing the duties of the position. If the Verkhovna Rada does not adopt a resolution appointing Andrii Sybiha as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine by July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Kyiv time, this market will resolve to “No.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information and records from the Verkhovna Rada, including adopted appointment resolutions and official voting records; however, official information from the President of Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on Polymarket ↗Related markets
XRP Up or Down - Daily
Despite a series of bearish headlines highlighting an 80% drop in XRP Ledger payments and risks of a break below $1, the daily market has swung to 65% odds of an up day, gaining 4 points in 24 hours—suggesting traders are betting on a short-term bounce rather than the prevailing negative narrative.
Yes ≈ 46% chance
Polymarket or Kalshi?
This market is a pure sentiment gauge with no resolution, so the 72% Polymarket lead reflects a persistent narrative advantage from its on-chain identity and aggressive bonus campaigns, but Kalshi's recent $500 referral push and a Washington Post controversy show it can still capture attention and shift the conversation.
2 outcomes
SUI Up or Down - Daily
The real story is that SUI's price is caught between a surge in network usage and a history of technical failures, with the odds slightly favoring an up day but far from certain.
Yes ≈ 93% chance
Will Asahifuji (Ochirsaikhan/Ochiru) go undefeated through the end of 2026?
With no public headlines or recent events to cite, the 2% Yes / 98% No odds appear to reflect the extreme difficulty of a sumo wrestler staying undefeated for an entire calendar year, a feat rarely achieved in the sport's history.
Yes ≈ 2% chance
Will China invade Taiwan before GTA 6 releases?
This market pits a low-probability geopolitical event against an uncertain video game release, with odds heavily favoring No because China has not invaded Taiwan despite decades of rhetoric and any invasion would be a massive escalation unlikely before GTA 6's expected release within a few years.
Yes ≈ 8% chance
DOGE Up or Down - Daily
Despite a cascade of bearish headlines—including a 25% weekly plunge in early June and a down close on July 11—the market now assigns an 80% probability to DOGE closing up on the daily resolution, suggesting traders are betting on a sharp reversal or a catalyst not captured in the provided news.
Yes ≈ 98% chance