MacBook base model price on Black Friday
7 markets · 7mo
The market is pricing a near-certain floor above $550 for the base MacBook on Black Friday, with the tightest contest at the $650 threshold, suggesting traders expect a modest discount from the current $999 list price but not a deep clearance.
AI-generated · grounded in recent news + odds · informational only, not advice. Verify on the source platform.
Markets in this event
Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $750 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?
Despite Apple's recent site-wide price hike (Business Insider, Jun 26), the market prices a sub-$750 MacBook on apple.com by Black Friday at 93% – a level that seems to bet on an unprecedented new entry-level model or a rare direct discount, neither of which is confirmed by headlines.
Yes ≈ 93% chance
Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $700 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?
Yes ≈ 85% chance
Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $650 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?
Yes ≈ 68% chance
Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $600 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?
Yes ≈ 38% chance
Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $550 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?
Yes ≈ 28% chance
Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $500 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?
Yes ≈ 6% chance
Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $450 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?
Recent price hikes and the historical floor for MacBook pricing make a sub-$450 price point on Apple.com nearly impossible, overwhelming the market toward No despite potential Black Friday discounts.
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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