Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
6 markets · 5mo
The market heavily discounts any chance that the RTX 5090 will trade above $1.46 per compute unit by end of 2026, implying either a much lower launch price or rapid depreciation, with the highest threshold ($2.21) at 95% No and the lowest ($1.46) at 86% No.
AI-generated · grounded in recent news + odds · informational only, not advice. Verify on the source platform.
Markets in this event
Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.46 by Dec 31? — Above $1.46
Despite the RTX 5090 being a flagship GPU, the market prices a below-threshold compute cost due to poor value versus cheaper alternatives and rising competition, not a shortage or demand spike.
Yes ≈ 31% chance
Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.76 by Dec 31? — Above $1.76
Yes ≈ 7% chance
Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.91 by Dec 31? — Above $1.91
Yes ≈ 8% chance
Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $2.21 by Dec 31? — Above $2.21
Despite the RTX 5090's high retail price and premium VRAM for AI, traders overwhelmingly expect its cloud compute per hour to stay below $2.21, likely due to competitive pressure from cheaper alternatives like the RTX 5070 Ti and emerging Chinese GPUs.
Yes ≈ 1% chance
Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $1.61 by Dec 31? — Above $1.61
Yes ≈ 8% chance
Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $2.06 by Dec 31? — Above $2.06
Yes ≈ 3% chance
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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