Los Angeles Daily Temperature High — contract UHLAX_072626_80
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 6% chance — very unlikely.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 6% right now.
Data from ForecastEx’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
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How it resolves
Settled by ForecastEx, a CFTC-regulated US exchange (via Interactive Brokers), against the official source named in each contract.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on ForecastEx ↗Related markets
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2 outcomes
Los Angeles Daily Temperature High (77)
Despite a historic March heatwave and record ocean temperatures, the market prices only an 84% chance of Los Angeles hitting at least 77°F on July 26—well below the 90%+ climatological norm, suggesting traders see room for cooler surprises or model uncertainty.
Yes ≈ 84% chance
Will over 100,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?
Yes ≈ 25% chance