Los Angeles Daily Temperature High — contract UHLAX_072726_79
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 2% chance — almost no chance.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 2% right now.
Data from ForecastEx’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
Discussion
Loading…
How it resolves
Settled by ForecastEx, a CFTC-regulated US exchange (via Interactive Brokers), against the official source named in each contract.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
View the official rules on ForecastEx ↗Related markets
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
The market sees a low probability of a US announcement to halt Iran offensive operations by July 31, with odds dropping 4 points in 24 hours, likely because a recent headline (July 21) suggests a possible halt by August 31 instead, pushing the deadline past the resolution date.
Yes ≈ 100% chance
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Yes ≈ 5% chance
Polymarket or Kalshi?
This market is a pure sentiment gauge with no resolution, so the 72% Polymarket lead reflects a persistent narrative advantage from its on-chain identity and aggressive bonus campaigns, but Kalshi's recent $500 referral push and a Washington Post controversy show it can still capture attention and shift the conversation.
2 outcomes
Aella's Magic Button poll: which side gets more votes? [SHORT FUSE]
Yes ≈ 93% chance
Will China invade Taiwan before GTA 6 releases?
The market is betting heavily that China will not invade Taiwan before the release of GTA 6, reflecting a belief that military action is unlikely in the near term despite heightened political rhetoric.
Yes ≈ 8% chance