Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
💡 What the odds say
The market puts this at about a 0% chance — almost no chance.
Across venues
· updated 8mPredictPal ConsensusThe same question trades on 3 venues — prices range 0%–14%. This blend is weighted by each venue’s market depth.
The prediction markets collectively imply a near-zero chance that Trump will pardon SBF by July 31, though the play-money venue Manifold shows a slightly higher 14% chance, likely due to its use of play-money rather than real-money stakes.
No money — just record your call and see if you were right. Yes is at 0% right now.
Data from InsightX’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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How it resolves
Settled by the source platform according to the rules written into this specific market.
ⓘ A market settles under its own written rules, which can lag what looks decided in the news — so the price may not move to 100% the moment an outcome seems obvious.
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